Kakkonen 30.5

Warkaus JK - TP-47 -0,25 1 49% 2,35 4/10 188bet
Warkaus JK - TP-47 O3.25 54% 2,35 7/10 188bet

Warkaus JK - TP-47 44 21 35
o/u 2.5: 70 30

Cue the 0-1/0-2 scoreline. Have to admit the odds movement looks really scary, but unless Warkaus is missing most of their team there's not a plausible reason for TP-47's odds to be so low (Warkaus does talk about suffering injuries in YPA match, but no names are given apart from Ikudehinbu). TP-47 still has played only a one half of good football, and that was against PK-37 last week. So while that's an improvement, the overall parity/equality we've seen multiple times this year makes me really hard to make a team like TP-47 as away favorites. This week the coin landed on tails, so it's time to play overs. TP-47's defence has still looked really shaky, and the injury of Kovalev will probably not improve things. On the other side I'm still fairly confident that Warkaus is better in scoring and conceding goals this year than the average Kakkonen side.