5.5.2012

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 5.5.


FC YPA - PK-37 +0,5 2 56% 1,98 4/10 188bet
FC YPA - PK-37 U3.25 53% 2,02 2/10 188bet
HauPa - GBK U3.25 56% 1,92 3/10 188bet
HauPa - GBK -0,75 2 58% 1,84 4/10 Sbobet
KPV - AC Kajaani -1 1 52,5% 2,00 2,5/10 Sbobet

FC YPA - PK-37 44 21 29
o/u 2.5: 65 35

FC YPA's training conditions were indeed more horrendous than previously known so the 1-2 defeat against GBK could be classified as a somewhat good result. They'll likely miss two key players in Heikkilä and Akhmetkhanov, on the other side PK-37 will probably miss Halonen, who was their second best scorer last year. With the YPA's missing players I'd say these two are as even as it gets, so -0,25 would be my guess. edit: +0,5 is more than enough for PK-37 as they're much more readier than YPA.

HauPa - GBK 18 19 63
o/u 2.5: 61 39

HauPassion got some positive news from the transfer front when they got U19 national team goalkeeper Pennanen from AC Oulu. While I have strong doubts about his talents, he should still be a much better option than what HauPa had before. Long winter postponed last week's match for HauPa, so this will be their first match. Like I said in the preview, I'm expecting a tough time for HauPa this year as their squad is rather weak and they're mostly relying on their fighting spirit, but of course if everything goes right like last year they're by no means a lock to get relegated. GBK won deservedly against YPA and with Kemi stumbling (though Bet365 stats indicated that Santa scored from both of their shots on goal) they're looking like the favorite now. Class difference is obviously huge, but HauPa's good home record last year is something that should be respected in case GBK gets playable odds. edit: GBK -0,75 is quite nice, under is also a good choice as I think HauPa is still a clear under team until proven otherwise. Also what's good for under is the horrible weather here in Oulu (wind and rain), which will of course affect AC Oulu - JIPPO.

KPV - AC Kajaani 63 18 19
o/u 2.5: 69 31

I have to admit that I'm intrigued to see the odds for this match. As said yesterday, KPV had a solid defensive game against Kemi on the opening day and if that's anything to go by they should be a top-5 team especially now that TP-47 have weakened a lot. AC Kajaani won Warkaus convincingly but I'll still be a little cautious as Warkaus could be a pretty horrible team this year. From the top of my mind away games haven't been that easy for newly promoted teams anyway, so 1.60 as a limit for KPV would feel about right with my hunch too.

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