12.5.2012

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 12.5. rest of the matches

Not really a fan of this taking forever to release odds kind of thing..

KPV - HauPa -0,5 1 63% 1,80 5/10 188bet
KPV - HauPa U3.25 63% 1,66 5/10 Sbobet
Warkaus JK - FC Santa Claus -0,25 1 48% 2,47 3/10 188bet
PS Kemi - FC YPA +1,25 2 54,5% 2,14 188bet

AC Kajaani - PK-37 35 21 44
o/u 2.5: 70 30

Simply put I think PK-37 is just a more proven team at this level for the moment, so pk (0) or better would be very nice. Hopefully the total line will be 3.25 or lower since I'm still holding the belief that Kajaani's matches will have a lot of goals no matter the opponent (except HauPa and TP-47).

KPV - HauPa 63 20 17
o/u 2.5: 56 44

HauPa made a fool of me once again by beating GBK, but I think I've finally learned my lesson of betting against them on their home matches. However, away from home it should be a different thing, so I'm going with mostly the same estimation as in KPV-AC Kajaani game. Like the TP-47 game, this look very much like a under.

Warkaus JK - FC Santa Claus 43 20 37
o/u 2.5: 72 28

Santa Claus has supposedly returned to their long-ball, or p*rseroiskinta as the locals say, tactics that earned them a spot in the promotion play-offs a few years ago. Of course the team is not nearly the same but who knows, they could be a pretty effective team this year. Warkaus didn't stand a chance against Kajaani which obviously is a worrying sign, but as of now I'll think these two as quite even, with a small edge to Santa Claus. Surprisingly both have actually managed to put a preview up, which despite a lot of vague vocabulary indicate that neither team should have anyone of note missing.

PS Kemi - FC YPA 63 18 19
o/u 2.5: 66 34

As much as I've been touting PS Kemi, the estimation from Veikkaus looks a bit too high. The Santa Claus game was promising for Kemi and they would have deserved at least a draw from that, but obviously they're not yet fully clicking. YPA lost a very even game against PK-37 which isn't that poor of a result. Now they'll probably get Akmetkhanov back, and additionally the former YPA and OPS player Vuletic who should be a good player at this level might join them for this game if his permit is cleared. More training time should also be a good thing for YPA. It's likely that neither total nor handicap will offer anything interesting.

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