19.5.2013

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 19.5

GBK - Kerho 07 O3.25 59% 1,91 6/10 188Bet
TP-47 - Tervarit U3.5 55% 1,96 2/10 188Bet
TP-47 - Tervarit -1,25 1 58,5% 1,83 4/10 188Bet

VIFK - PS Kemi 40 21 39
o/u 2.5: 68 32

Conficting reports coming from Östermyra, but it seems like VIFK was slightly on top vs SJK/2 so that's at least better than the two not so good performances against TP-47 and ORP. Google Translate indicates that VIFK will pretty much have a full squad to choose from, so their frighteningly good defense could get even better now. PS Kemi didn't really convince against TP-47, though overall their start has mostly been what was expected of them. The visitors obviously have a big advantage in raw talent, but like said before VIFK is one of better teams in this group so this should be a really even contest. PS Kemi have been dreadful on the road for the last year and a half, so even if the team is not completely the same I'll be wary of playing them in their away games (except KPV, ORP etc. ) unless they actually do some winning.  So far VIFK has dragged every one of their opponents to the same level of low-scoring football, but PS Kemi along with GBK are probably the only teams with which the over in VIFK games could be considered even remotely appealing. PS Kemi goalkeeper Vilmunen was injured in their last game, but the replacement Luukkonen should do fine if Vilmunen is still out.

GBK - Kerho 07 64 17 19
o/u 2.5: 73 27

SJK/II's parent club has had some injuries lately, so while it may sound like a broken record, it's a very good idea to wait until 1 hour before kick-off because SJK/II's level would probably drop a lot in case Caumo, Aalto & co end up playing in SJK/I. GBK doesn't seem to be playing particularly well at the moment, but they've perfected the art of turning tight games in their favor which is after all probably not that surprising considering their success in recent years. SJK/II's games against the comparable opposition, VIFK and PS Kemi, have been quite tight, but if the main stars don't play the already existing class difference would get much wider. GBK talks about defending in their preview, and that does sound truthful, though with the offensive power that GBK I'd still classify them as clear over team. SJK has played some under teams lately so the scores have been low, but at worst they should be a middling team when it comes to totals provided that they are at full strength. 

TP-47 - Tervarit 74 15 11
o/u 2.5: 67 33

Losses have piled up for TP-47 lately so it's safe to say there will be no Veikkausliiga played in Tornio in the near future. However, they haven't played that badly and at the moment there isn't an easier opponent available than Tervarit, so setting them as big favorites is justifiable. TP-47 has had some player movement with Russians going in and out, and former player Isteri making a comeback, so no problems with injuries in Tornio. Tervarit is a different story, with probably half a dozen players being out that could challenge for a starting spot. Like the results indicate Tervarit isn't playing catastrophically bad, but scoring goals, creating chances and keeping their nerves has proven to be an impossible task for them. Until there's some sort of an improvement and/or players coming back, I'd steer far away from placing any bets on them as they don't currently look like a team to back. Hopefully the line is -1,25 or lower, as the home team's situation seems much more stable and if things were normal they'd still easily be the better team of these two by a mile. No strong ideas on the total, could go either way as TP-47 has mostly been a over team lately and Tervarit the complete opposite of that, but they don't really play like JIPPO type of team so the potential is there for more goals, not many but some.

Ei kommentteja:

Lähetä kommentti