Kakkonen Pohjoinen 26.5

VIFK - FC YPA +0,5 2 61% 1,85 6/10 Sbobet

VIFK - FC YPA 39 21 40
o/u 2.5: 68 32

VIFK continues to be a tough team to beat, but for at least until 20.6 I'm not taking them 100% seriously when considering the promotion candidates of this year's Kakkonen. Because it's so early in the season I could be horribly wrong with that sentiment, but I don't find it surprising that they haven't beaten any of the good teams (Kerho 07, PS Kemi, TP-47) they've faced so far. YPA suffered from a poor attitude in the first half against KPV, and while they didn't play that good in the second half either they still managed to scrape the win. This time there should be no danger of underestimating the opponent, so a better team combined with a better form means that I don't have any reservations in rating the visitors as small favorites. VIFK dislike aside, last week's VIFK-PS Kemi was pretty similar to this, so it would not be totally unreasonable to consider VIFK as tiny favorites either. Total matches last week too with VIFK being a clear under team and YPA likely the opposite of that. 

Unavailable:

GBK - ORPa 80 12 8
o/u 2.5: 72 28

GBK folded like a Dressman suit in the second half against Kerho 07, but I'd expect that to just be a temporary misstep for them, so this should be a very easy win for the hosts as the class difference is massive in GBK's favor. ORPa didn't play that bad against PK-37, but scoring goals proved again to be too difficult for them. Some of it could be attributed to bad luck, but the fact is that ORPa just doesn't have enough quality in their team so it doesn't come as a surprise that they keep missing the chances that they are given. ORP missed Ahonen and Tenkula from their last match, of whom the first one could be considered a key player. GBK's cb Corcoran is still out,  otherwise they are at full strength. ORP's defense has been rock-solid so far with their experienced gk Rönkkö in particular being in very good form, so big handicaps or total lines might not look appealing in that light. However, with the exception of SJK/2 they've only faced offensively challenged teams so far so the stats are a bit misleading in this case, and after all the good efforts each one of their matches against a superior opponent has still resulted in a loss.

TP-47 - KPV 69 16 15
o/u 2.5: 71 29

Middle table vs bottom. TP-47 took a routine win against Tervarit and as KPV is a similar level team, TP-47 should have a reasonably good chance to grab the three points again. According to their preview, TP-47 will have a full squad available. KPV almost surprised YPA on Monday, and what makes that impressive was the fact that they were playing without two extremely important players in Myntti and Watson. The odds for the home win are lower than they were in Tervarit match, which I disagree with because I'd say KPV is slightly better team at the moment. However, unless the line is -1.75 I wouldn't bother to play KPV, as they are still a team that mostly deserves their poor record (1 point in six matches). Goalfests have continued in TP-47's games, so with KPV's defense being very suspect against anyone other than the bottom three so I'd take a chance with 3.25 if it's available.