Kakkonen Pohjoinen 25.5

Tervarit - Kerho 07 O3.0 59% 1,82 4,5/10 Sbobet
Tervarit - Kerho 07 -0,75 2 55% 1,93 1,5/10 Sbobet

Plenty of Tervarit players disappearing again for various reasons (Blomberg, Vilppola, Pikkarainen, Tervo, Lehtiniemi, Paldan, Makowski), but some do return (Festus, Kuusirati, Ahonpää, Puurunen). However, just by glancing their line-up it doesn't look that bad, so I've cut some stakes with SJK/2 bet, even though SJK/2 is playing a pretty good team themselves. On hunch over isn't tasty at all, because it's not a coincidence that Tervarit has scored 3 goals so far. To make matters worse for the over, Tervarit defense looked ok vs GBK, ORP and KPV, but 3.0 line is hard to resist.

Tervarit - Kerho 07 21 19 60
o/u 2.5: 68 32

Nothing new for Tervarit in Tornio last week, adequate performance but yet another defeat. Some players, such as Tervo, Pikkarainen and Festus, look to be returning, while others like Rova and Ahonpää remain missing. In any case, other than Ogbuefi there doesn't seem to be any players that could be considered key players at the moment so any improvement would probably be marginal. If the last 15 minutes in TP-47 - Tervarit were strange, the same could be said about Kerho 07's last game. GBK is a very good team, but yet again Kerho 07 showed that they can hang with the best of them as they turned a 0-2 deficit into 3-2, which in the end might have been a slightly undeserved win. Kerho 07's preview is full of vapid hand-waving again, so until it's one hour before kick-off it's not that easy to estimate their level. But on paper (vs GBK), Simpanen, Aalto, Goldberg, Muurimäki, Jans and maybe Penninkangas are by my understanding the key players of the lot. Tervarit hasn't shown anything so far to warrant anything more than a 9-10. position in the ranking, while Kerho 07 is likely very near YPA, PS Kemi, GBK and VIFK in terms of class, so the away team is obviously a big favorite in this game. Just by hunch the current odds (1,67 to 1,80) for Kerho 07 don't really feel that playable due to the uncertainties surrounding their line-up, and Tervarit in their current form is an unbettable team, if that is even a word. Despite the TP-47 outburst, Tervarit should be at least a slightly underish team, while Kerho 07 is slighty over-like, so 3.25 would be skippable.

Unavailable:

PS Kemi - PK-37 73 15 12
o/u 2.5: 72 28

PS Kemi managed to yet again choke an away game, this time letting two of the poorest strikers in the group, Lombo and Johansson, to score the equalizing goals in a 2-2 draw against VIFK. Truth to be told, the draw was probably a deserved result if the reports are to be believed. Two of the missing players from VIFK match, Ikäläinen and Spivack should return so they should have the best possible squad available. Even though they won, PK-37 did not play well against ORPa, who are just as bad as the two bottom dwellers KPV and Tervarit. Class difference is massive in PS Kemi's favor, and they usually play much better in their home games so I'd expect PS Kemi to have no trouble with PK-37. However, the odds for the home win look so low that it's unlikely the handicap will offer anything interesting. PK-37 is still a couple of steps above the bottom, so I couldn't really justify the 1.25 level odds as PS Kemi hasn't been that dominant so far. PS Kemi definitely has the necessary potential to rack up similar numbers as YPA did against PK-37 (5-0), but again the total line looks to be too high to have any value in it, even if PK-37 looks to be having some trouble with lack of goalkeepers.