9.5.2013

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 9.5

TP-47 - FC YPA O3.5 56% 1,96 5/10 188Bet
GBK - PS Kemi O3.25 59% 2,01 7/10 188Bet

TP-47 - FC YPA 42 20 38
o/u 2.5: 76 24

Yesterday did not provide much of goalscoring excitement, but today should be the complete opposite. Postponements are always annoying and that was especially highlighted in last week's YPA-PS Kemi game that was called off. Now there's just the bizarre 5-2 win against GBK, which could just be a fluke (as in, Pejic scoring CL-quality goals) or they're actually a serious challenger to GBK, PS Kemi and VIFK. What certainly does support the latter, is the fact that YPA's squad is very talented. Most players have either already proven that they can do well in Kakkonen, or that they have enough credentials to suggest that they are at least mid-table quality at this level. But even if YPA ends up very high in the standings, today's match against TP-47 should be a quite tough one for them. Against PK-37 TP-47 were pretty poor, but otherwise they've showed promising performances all spring long. Any promotion talk is probably out of the question, but anything just below that is definitely achievable for TP-47. I don't know if it's the new signing Bobb, but this year TP-47 has been very over-like, so when FC YPA has traditionally been one of the over sides in this group this should have the potential to be a very entertaining encounter. Though it has to be said that YPA has had plenty of changes for this year, so it could be a good idea to keep the stakes low with totals at least. TP-47 has kindly provided an preview, which indicates they have no one important missing. YPA's usually doesn't bother to put up any previews for their away games, so no help coming from there.

GBK - PS Kemi 42 20 38
o/u 2.5: 73 27

The true top clash, the home team finished ahead of PS Kemi last year and also kept their team intact, but there are some things that point to the visitors being the better team of these two. Firstly, their new manager Taylor seems to be huge improvement over their last year's coach. Secondly, they've been the better team in all of their recent encounters (2012 and 2013, total of 5 games) against GBK, even though the results have been quite even. Additionally, Kemi has kept improving their squad by adding a new striker to their excellent striking unit, which is painfully lacking in depth. However, no matter how you twist it, these teams are very even so it would be very easy to argue between 42 % and 46 % for the home team depending on what things you want to put more weight on. Taylor's tactics are still a small questionmark, but this looks to have a lot of potential for a goalfest simply due to the amount of attacking talent on the field. Granted, GBK especially is quite solid defensively and Kemi now has Vilmunen as their goalkeeper, but the previous encounters have always provided goals. Both teams should have all their key players available.

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