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I have been struggling with this match, but first things first. KuPS odds were about ok or a bit valuable last night at 0.25 @ 1.84, but now they have rosen to 1.97 and that can not be ignored anymore.
The ideology behind my service is not to give straight betting suggestions but to show you where the value is, the prices move quite quickly and giving a pick at certain price would be a no-show for most of you. As there is only one match today it is easy to pinpoint the right option.
Last time I was strongly backing TamU and now it seems I do the opposite, it is a bit nervewrecking situation always, but TamU have again lost the plot completely and they suffered another injury early against AC Oulu when mf Tomi Petrescu had to leave the pitch. According to the reports Oulu were far better than I thought myself and I do not want to take anything from them
but TamU are
- performing worse day by day,
- the mental strength is not there,
- the physical strength is not there,
- the roles of the midfielders and strikers are wrongly set,
- the new players from Jaro have not found their place yet,
- the best striker is constantly benched and there are far too many unexperienced players in the starting eleven.
- not to mention that the experienced ones appear to be the laziest and concentrate on the wrong things, like giving negative feedback to the youngsters.
The list of problems is long, a lot of air must be cleared and TamU can not afford having that many players sidelined as they have now.
KuPS are a traditional club, one of their traditions lately has been to get relegated every now and then and they surely are not out of danger this year either. There are positive signs though, and quite a lot of them. Last season KuPS started very badly, but after they got Esa Pekonen to coach their record and performances have been solid mid-table. The signings they made last summer were succesful, and now that Ollo and especially Dickson are finally back KuPS midfield is as strong as anyone else´s. I do estimate KuPS as favourites under these circumstances, unfortunately they have no motivation competition-wise as they are already definitely out even if they win, but I am sure they want to fine-tune their game and field their best possible line-up as the start of the season is only a couple of weeks away, KuPS start 16th April at home vs another big club HJK.
KuPS managed to score their first goals of the competition vs. JJK (2-1 win), who admittedly had not their best possible starting eleven, but KuPS did create a bagful of goal chances also in their previous match which they undeservedly lost 0-1 vs Haka.
The current prices show respect for a big name TamU who are one of the best teams of the League in the 21st century, but the performances give no room to past glory. The prices are wrong by one handicap.
If you see a real price offered at your bookie as bigger than these, you should act. 5 % bigger should be enough to cover the analysis risk.
If you see a real price offered at your bookie as bigger than these, you should act. 5 % bigger should be enough to cover the analysis risk.
| KuPS | TamU | ||
| 0,5 | 1,49 | 3,03 | -0,5 |
| 0,25 | 1,68 | 2,48 | -0,25 |
| 0 | 1,92 | 2,09 | 0 |
| -0,25 | 2,27 | 1,79 | 0,25 |
The League Cup continues on Wednesday with quarter finals. I will save you from spam as much as I can, and the reviews and thoughts will be found probably on Sunday at the blog, the next Newsletter will be published on Tuesday. Meanwhile, any ideas, feedback, critisism and thanks are always welcome. The aim is to be both professional and user-friendly and keep everyone as happy as possible. At some point I need to make you an offer I hope you are not refusing, but let us not worry about that just yet.
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