16.6.2010

A couple of Kakkonen bets

I took Someron Voima away at KaaPo at +0,25 @ 2.01 earlier myself based on the class difference, and 

The Nordic Master of the 2C does see Korsholm - FC Vaajakoski like this ; the odds dropped naturally quickly after publishing this in the Newsletter this afternoon.


FC Korsholm - FC Vaajakoski

Korsholm had a somewhat good performance again last week, this time against YPA. However, horrible errors continue to plague them so it's probably still safe to rate them as the worst team in the group until they stop gifting goals to their opponents. FCV has been a little bit of a lucky team in their past two games, as both TP-47 and JBK weren't any worse than them, but they still came out with 6 points. FCV has a much more interesting top clash coming up on sunday against YPA, so there's some danger of look ahead if you believe in those things, and also this being a weekday game plus the long trip is not favouring FCV. The player quality and, most importantly, confidence levels do still favour the visitors heavily, so if sbobet and co follow the eurobookies with esimation of only around 62% for FCV I'd be somewhat happy. After all, with their good displays and all, Korsholm has only covered the handicap once this season(first match vs JBK).

Total is interesting too, as both Bet365 and Centrebet offer odds of over 1,5 for the 2.5 line over. I have to admit being quite wrong with FCV, because so far they seem to be a totally different team as far as their results go compared to last year(very under-like this season). Everyone but one of the new players they got from FC Jyväskylä were either midfielders or strikers(coach is still the same), so I'd have thought that they would have stayed pretty much the same, but it might be that it has made them a more stable or more harder to break down type of team.

As said above, Korsholm has been very shaky and and vulnerable in their defending and goalkeeping under the new coach Väkeväinen, and that is what I've come to usually expect from these Kolmonen-quality squads right from the start. On the plus side they do create fair amount of goalscoring opportunities and have lately actually scored from them a couple of times. KajHa match didn't have any goals scored, but at least the reports suggests that it was just down to bad luck.
Another low-scoring game was against FCV, which could partially explain the rather high odds for over. 3.0 or even 3.25 line for the total would be nice, and that is solely because of Korsholm playing in this match, and not just me trying to fool myself into believing that this is the same type of FCV that they were last season.

13 15 72
o/u 2.5: 71 29


FC Korsholm - FC Vaajakoski -1,25 2 58% 2,01 5/10 Sbobet
FC Korsholm - FC Vaajakoski O3.25 56% 1,96 3,5/10 Sbobet


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