18.6.2014

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 18.6

One of the best, if not the best, keeper in whole Kakkonen, Koponen is on the bench for OPS. Also important defender Richardson is not starting either, so I'll settle for just a small bet on the visitors. Line-ups favor YPA as Smith is still missing from GBK and YPA's questionable players are starting.

Every game looks quite low scoring, so again blindly playing unders could be a viable strategy as has been the case whole season. 

AC Kajaani - OPS +1 54% 1,99 2/10 188Bet
FC YPA - GBK -1 53% 2,01 4/10 Sbobet

AC Kajaani - OPS 59 21 20
o/u 2.5: 58 42

The enigmatic form of OPS continued last week when they drew with PK-37. They've proven that they can compete with the best of teams but on the other hand there has been practically an equal amount of humiliating blunders. Outside finishing, there wasn't much much wrong with their performance against PK-37 as they were not in much trouble of conceding until late second half. AC Kajaani took a routine win against OLS last week. ACK is the better team here but the odds for the home win are so low that I don't think there's any value to be found in that. A +1 line may very well be available, and for all their troubles OPS has only lost once by more than 1 goal, and overall they've conceded more than one just twice so far. AC Kajaani hasn't administered many brutal thrashings as they've mostly relied on their defense, which has conceded a league low 4 goals in 9 games.


FC YPA - GBK 64 20 16
o/u 2.5: 59 41

YPA might not be as exciting as they were last year, but at the moment their defense is so strong that they probably won't mind if their scoring is not on last year's level. GBK is also riding high, which is quite impressive considering that they've had some injury worries. YPA definitely has the advantage in player quality and they've handled better teams than GBK recently so in that sense -0,75 would be more than welcome. In the mental rankings I'm still keeping GBK in the middle table which could be an underestimation. However, I'll repeat the sentiments from JBK game, which GBK did win, but were again slightly lucky to get a favorable result.

PK-37 - PS Kemi 12 17 71
o/u 2.5: 60 40

PS Kemi's suspect form continued last week when they lost to YPA. The reports are slightly conflicting but it seems like they were a little bit unlucky in that game, but that doesn't change the fact that they're not at their best right now. Some of that can be attributed to injuries and for this game the situation in that front does not look to be any better. PK-37 was like OLS with extra emphasis on defending, or in other words they looked like a really terrible team. Kosonen had a magnificent game, and they'll need his miracle saves again since PS Kemi is far ahead of them in every part of the field except goalkeepers. That said I have enough respect for PK-37's defensive abilities that the 1,30 type of odds for the visitors are really not worth it.

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