8.6.2014

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 8.6

Nothing interesting pregame, OLS-GBK updates here, possibly GBK -0,25. Low scoring season continued yesterday, today every game has a 3.0 line and each match does have an underish feeling in them so I wouldn't fault anyone for trying unders today.

PK-37 - FC YPA 13 17 70
o/u 2.5: 59 41

Well, the recent YPA winning streak ruined any chance of getting reasonable odds for the away team. YPA has certainly earned back some of the trust that they lost with their lousy start as they've recently displayed similar form that they did last year. They're probably a good example why you shouldn't flipflop your rankings based on just a couple of games, but that can be said about the whole group because nearly all of the teams are exactly where they were predicted to be. PK-37 has now gone undefeated for three games mostly due to their rock solid defending. Scoring remains an issue despite three last week, and since YPA's defending has been just as excellent lately it's doubtful that PK-37 will get more than one, and even that is a stretch. I don't find any value in -1,25 even if the hunch is heavily on YPA's side, so like the other two games today nothing interesting here.

OLS - GBK 32 22 46
o/u 2.5: 57 43

OLS truly hit the rock bottom when they lost PK-37 last week. The recent form has been terrible and the only positive news are the return of a few important players. Any selections on them would be just foolish at the moment (just forget last week) so for today it's GBK or nothing. GBK still a little bit of a unknown team, their performances have been literally all over the place at least in terms of results. I'm sure GBK is the better team currently, but whether that means -0,25 is value is better determined in live. e: GBK still misses Smith along with few others, but OLS's Kainu is on the bench. 

KPV - OPS 46 23 31
o/u 2.5: 56 44

Another nightmare of a game to predict. If OPS decides to show up the likely line of +0.5 would no doubt be value as I don't think they would be any worse than KPV. If they display the same performance as against JBK where a draw would have been the fair result, then KPV shouldn't have too much trouble in beating them. KPV has bounced back nicely from two poor performances against PK-37 and AC Kajaani. Beating OLS is not a big merit right now, but playing a equal game against PS Kemi away from home is a much more encouraging sign. In the long run both teams will likely battle for the same positions in the standings so I have slight interest on OPS +0,5, but unless they develop some consistency (or I can see them live) I'll take the option of passing the game.

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