Kakkonen Pohjoinen 3.6

You can follow both games today as AC Kajaani will stream their match live, and updates for the OPS game can be found on my twitter account here.

OPS - JBK 63 19 18
o/u 2.5: 63 37

Lately OPS has made a habit of playing the exact opposite way that I thought so I'm not exactly too confident in making predictions about them. That said, at best JBK is the third worst team in the group and OPS has shown enough flashes of potential that it's easy to place something on them when the line is as low as -0,75. Since this is available in live the most sensible approach would be to wait until then, for example last week it was quite evident early on that OPS had really came to play. Neither team has released any previews, but JBK's Jaro loans might be the only thing that could sway the estimations. OPS has had a underish run lately and it's not a total coincidence as they do have good defense and equally bad attack. I won't even pretend to know what kind of a team JBK is when it comes to totals but after today we'll be wiser. Under would be a much interesting option with 3.25 line but I'll be leaving that for live too.

AC Kajaani - GBK 70 16 14
o/u 2.5: 66 34

I had some plans to skip this, but after going it through couple of times I think the -1,25 is acceptable enough for AC Kajaani. They've had two disappointing games in a row, but GBK should be a much easier opponent as they are a step or two below YPA and TP-47. The home side do still possess excellent squad for this level (even though Ogbuefi is suspended, they've signed two well-known players in Akbar and Koivuranta) especially compared to what GBK has fielded lately, and overall this is a game between top-2 side and a lower middle table team. GBK's important Smith did not play last time, no idea whether he's fit today because there's no preview. No strong ideas for the total, but I don't believe either is below average so hunch estimation for 3.25 would be near 50 % so over would be tiny value.

OPS - JBK -0,75 1 58% 1,86 4,5/10 188Bet
AC Kajaani - GBK -1,25 1 53% 1,97 3/10 Sbobet