OPS - FC YPA 33 22 45
o/u 2.5: 58 42
OPS managed to challenge a good team again when they lost to AC Kajaani with a last minute goal. YPA had looked unbeatable for a few weeks and all things were in place for a yet another win, but an uninspired performance was followed by a 1-2 loss to GBK so it's interesting to see how they'll respond. Last year, once the impressive starting streak ran out of its steam YPA disintegrated completely as the losses started to mount up. As has likely been said multiple times in earlier previews, OPS is a bit difficult to predict as they sort of manage to play to their opponents level. If the pattern holds up and they're up to this game then +0,5 would be worth it (e: or not, the odds are too low at the moment). However, there's always the live option (I'll leave the total there) and I'd much prefer to see whether OPS gk Koponen is fit as his replacement Keskinen has not been that impressive in the games I've seen.
KPV - GBK 44 23 33
o/u 2.5: 57 43
Both teams are in solid form, in KPV's case it should be expected as they possess a better than average team for this level. However, GBK's long unbeaten streak and consecutively their 4. position is probably the biggest surprise of this season as the visitors did not sign any high impact players after last year's largely disappointing season, the preseason did not have any great results either. GBK lost another key man to injury in YPA game as Roiko went down early, but they were still able to come up with a win. This is not a game I'm eager to get involved with, but if I had to choose something it would GBK +0,5 (e: +0,25 not as interesting) as they just keep defying expectations so why not see how long their flight lasts. Total is a complete lottery, I'd veer towards under but the odds are pretty spot on currently.
JBK - AC Kajaani 17 20 63
o/u 2.5: 58 42
JBK continued their good yet not win-worthy performances as they drew with KPV while AC Kajaani pulled out a tight win against OPS. JBK does certainly seem to have the capacity to bother even the best teams but an actual win looks really far fetched today since AC Kajaani has not really had any big missteps this year. The visitors are not exactly winning any style points (which I suppose is expected considering who their coach is) but the bottom line is that they have only loss against then red hot FC YPA. The odds for AC Kajaani do not raise much interest and unless the line is less than -1 I don't think it's worth the bother since Kajaani's style does not seem to lend itself to blowout wins. Euro odds for total suggest that 3.0 line is a possibility, and if so the under seems like an obvious choice. JBK has been one of the few positive teams (both statistically and what I've seen) this year if you like goals, but even their record is really lousy compared to usual over teams in the years past. And don't even get started with AC Kajaani and their coach..
PS Kemi - OLS 83 12 5
o/u 2.5: 64 36
Kemi is more rested now and they'll likely be able to field a better squad than in their previous games where they had some injury troubles. OLS did actually have a pretty good game against TP-47, though I suspect much of that was due to TP's poor display. There were more goalscoring chances than usual so that's a plus, but getting anything from Kemi looks like a insurmountable task assuming PS Kemi is near full strength in player front. The eurobookie odds, namely EH -1, look promising even when keeping in mind the low-scoring season we're having. That said, I'd be interested in the line-ups to see who exactly PS Kemi is still missing. Total is a very likely skip, Kemi's defense is not their strongest point but I don't think OLS will be able to cause them any trouble. Expecting PS Kemi to come up with three or four goals themselves is a bit too much to ask because defensively OLS hasn't been that bad (when you hold the possession you don't usually concede that much).
PK-37 - TP-47 23 23 54
o/u 2.5: 50 50
Looking back to Monday it was a mistake to trust TP-47 as they did not look like a good, or even average, team at all. The fact that they were able to play more than half of the game with one man-advantage with very little show was also worrisome, so I'm not particularly surprised that their win total is still at 1. PK-37's latest performances have been very respectable, defending is still mostly what they do but they've managed to find the net too. But make no mistake, TP-47 is the better team here and PK-37 is weakened by the suspension of first choice gk Kosonen. However, as it's all about the odds PK-37 might still be interesting with a +0,75 handicap because I don't think the difference is as big as the current odds indicate. This game has under written all over it (neither can score, pretty good defenses) so I'm frankly surprised that we're seeing 2,40 level odds for under 2.5, hopefully the Asians will open it at 2.75 or 3.0.
JBK - AC Kajaani U3.0 55% 1,92 1,5/10 188Bet
JBK - AC Kajaani -0,75 2 58% 1,88 6/10 188Bet
PS Kemi - OLS -1,5 1 62% 1,73 6/10 Sbobet
PK-37 - TP-47 U2.75 56% 2,01 3/10 188Bet
Ei kommentteja:
Lähetä kommentti