AC Kajaani - PK-37 82 12 6
o/u 2.5: 59 41
Yeah, it probably would make sense to skip any big handicaps since lopsided wins seem to be a thing of past. Not much information is available from Kajaani's JBK match, but I suppose it was another Jarmo Korhonen masterpiece of sluggish and hard-fought football. PK-37 choked hard in the first half of their six point game against TP-47 and were unable to claw back in the second. Luckily for them JBK and OLS are also in the same group so there's still some hope left for, but I doubt they'll get anything from AC Kajaani. A low-scoring draw is a distant possibility, a one-goal win for AC Kajaani wouldn't surprise much so perhaps the best option would be the under. The things written on Thursday should still stand even though PK-37's game had three goals, so 3.25 line would be more than welcome.
GBK - PS Kemi 26 22 52
o/u 2.5: 60 40
Kemi took a deserved yet annoyingly slim win against OLS while GBK's long streak of unbeaten finally ended when KPV won them 1-0. Squad quality should be heavily on PS Kemi's side but they've certainly not impressed lately, they do have three wins out of four but all of them came against the worst teams in the league. The odds for PS Kemi are laughably low at 1,80 level and even if I expect GBK to decline sooner or later this looks like a game to skip.
OLS - JBK 40 24 36
o/u 2.5: 52 48
A huge game for both. Team quality is probably quite equal, JBK's performances have likely been better overall but it can't be a total fluke that they're still winless. I've slammed OLS all season long and it's mostly been deserved as watching their version of tiki-taka is almost a form of torture. Like TP-47, OLS schedule is tough but I don't think JBK has done anything to deserve being favorites despite promising performances now and then. Handicap odds are pretty much spot on, under could be an interesting choice if the line happens to be 2.75.
TP-47 - OPS 36 24 40
o/u 2.5: 52 48
I think the wrong team is the favorite here. Like TP-47's preview mentions, this is their third game in six days so OPS is much more rested than them. However, I'm mostly basing my opinion on the overall outlook of the teams. OPS has been able to challenge the best teams in the group while TP-47 has been more or less outplayed by the same teams. Admittedly it is worrying that OPS has very little to show for their good performances as TP-47 is actually ahead of them in the standings, but even so the odds are so juicy for the away team that there's more than enough margin for errors. European bookies have finally started to adjust their odds for unders so value might be tougher to find, 2.75 would still be worth a try if the Asians open it.
FC YPA - KPV 48 23 29
o/u 2.5: 58 42
Odds for both handicap and total look so similar to mine that this doesn't need many words. Very similar quality teams as was predicted by almost everyone in preseason, YPA had a slow start while KPV has been pretty steady throughout season. YPA probably has slightly more proven quality as they had a great last year as opposed to KPV who have had two uninspired seasons after they were relegated from Ykkönen. But as said, value is tough to find with these odds.
(Can't really recommend these as my season has been horrible, but hopefully the previews help someone in making their own decisions. Unders have actually made some profit (tiny sample size though) so if you have the courage to follow those would make sense.)
AC Kajaani - PK-37 U3.25 1,99 3/10 Sbobet
GBK - PS Kemi +0,75 1 54% 2,11 3/10 Sbobet
OLS - JBK U2.75 54% 1,88 2/10 Sbobet
TP-47 - OPS +0,5 2 64% 1,73 6/10 188Bet
TP-47 - OPS U2.75 54% 2,00 2/10 Sbobet
Ei kommentteja:
Lähetä kommentti