23.10.2010

Veikkausliiga 2010 final round

Snowy pitches today, and big stakes for most of the teams!


TamU - HJK
Both have some fringe players, and perhaps this would be beforehand most likely over match today, but I disagree; HJK start without Rafinha who Bah who would normally create a big portion of their goal chances, on the other hand they also replaced a cb and the gk to worse ones. TamU have a couple of players who not normally start. No pre-match bet, I might take HJK live if it is still a draw and they substitute in some big guns. For some reason HJK odds dropped after seeing the line-ups, and at 1.85 definitely not worth a bet.



MIFK - KuPS
in the end I took KuPS +0,25 @ 1.92 here. MIFK will check if their gk is fit to play, and the 2nd choice Långbacka has not played since the early season, and all in all MIFK lack dangerous strikers and have played poorly for a long time.  A draw could suit them both, and MIFK are worth being big favourites here, if at all? Edit: Gk change confirmed.

Honka - Inter
No bet. Inter are always tough for Honka. Can not see where the Inter goal could be coming from, but it always does against Honka. Honka form has dropped alongside with the self-confidence of the strikers, but they still produce a lot of goal chances but can not convert. Rasimus in Honka starting 11 does not convince me, neither does Åkerlund at Inter.

Jaro - Oulu, hosts odds dropped to -0,25 @ 1.82 which is the correct price for it.

TPS - Lahti
, I took Lahti +0,5 @ 2.11 but it might be a bit foolhardy and risky. Litmanen starts for Lahti and perhaps they do not give away the first half as they usually do, TPS were awful at HJK on Monday, and cb Nyberg is suspended.  Lahti have been awful without Litmanen who usually comes in after 45 minutes, but with him they have earned a lot more points than the average teams. Edit: the TPS odds drop all the time, there might be big value in +0,5 soon!

MyPa - VPS. Visitors have usually done well vs. MyPa, today they need a draw and it is not far-fetched. At 0,25  I am not interested, the odds seem correct to me. Well, the VPS odds are rising all the time, at 0,25 @ 2.06 they are actually worth a bet on paper. My feeling does not that support that idea and I will forget this.

JJK - Haka. Hosts odds are rising and I can not say I specially like them as a team and they miss key defender Pasoja, but if the odds still rise pre-match from this 2.16 it will soon be too much. Might be worth a bet taking JJK live with risen odds or -0,25? Or not. I guess I will give this one a miss too no matter how hard I like to oppose Haka, who are almost safe here. After pondering this a long time, no bet. Edit: one late change for JJK line-up, Linjala gotten sick, Kari (not fully fit either?) replaces.

Live odds are often worth checking as there have been nice surprises. It is not at all uncommon to see odds rise from 2.00 to 2.40 in a matter of minutes, and in a round like this it does not mean there is any foul play or inside info, just some big boys have perhaps waited until live betting to get bigger stakes in, so give the odds a look if you have a chance.


There is possibility of some big drama and big goals as there are still 6 teams in threat of relegation, and Honka and Jaro fight for the last euro spot. Too bad there is not as interesting rounds always, but bettingewise this is not the easiest one. Good luck!

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