Ykkönen preview on Sat without lineup info

Ykkönen May 21st

 Even round in a extremely even league - 3 possible bets, PK-35 at least.
Hi lads!

Ykkönen is a low-scoring and very even league, and now with the new system there will be 4 relegated clubs out of 13 and every single point counts.  All 5 matches do have an underish feel and with current odds there is no huge value in any game but a few with some idea, and odds may of course move.

Oulu - Lahti, top-2 meet and both miss scoring power. Oulu are closer of being any value but 2.08 for -0.25 is just about correct. If there is a big market  move towards Lahti then Oulu might be worth it, but that price is not satisfactory for value and to cover possible analysis error. No bet.

HIFK - Kemi PS. I am hoping for some moves here towards HIFK, but there is already some value in the visitors. HIFK were completely shut down away at Kotka last Monday, but they have the best support in the whole country, the small stadion will be full and and I would want bigger margin for value here to cover the possible crazyness of HIFK. Very underish if we just look at the teams on paper, but the feeling at the stadion is good and HIFK are seriously fighting for their lives and of every ball, and in this heated atmosphere everything is possible and seeing a lot of goals would not surprise me the slighest. Also the opening match vs Viikingit was supposed to be very under and it ended 3-2. Kemi shortlisted, but +0,25 @ 1.85 needed, and possible.

JIPPO - OPS. As a rule of thumb there is always value in + hc for JIPPO at home, however today key player gk Mikko Ikonen is doubtful and if he is missing then I definitely will give up the idea of backing JIPPO. If he is playing then +0,25 @ 2 would be nice. Lineups here after confirmed and published, click the kick-off time in blue.

KPV - Espoo. The only match where there is a clear favourite though both are ranked to be bottom clubs. KPV have started very well and Espoo as expected, and in the draw last to round they showed signs of improvement and perhaps they join the survival game for real? There is a good chance that KPV becomes attractive in the market and if they do I will take a slice of Espoo today if we reach +0,75 @ 2.2.

PK-35 - PoPa. Ok then, one pick right away without any waiting game. PK-35 are in better form, have home advantage and are at least the same class with PoPa, so with a 50 % estimation there is value to be found in straight win. The only thing that worries me is the lack of quality strikers, but PoPa have problems of their own with a poor start, injuries and also the established connection with PoPa owner Sumiala and the arrested match-fixer Perumal.  PK-35 @ 2.17

Kakkonen matches today as well, but given the busy schedule in Europe and the fact that the odds get destroyed in a matter of a few minutes I would not hold my breath today, so it may well be that next Newsletter will be out tomorrow on Sunday. PRO list will get a LIVE msg from a Ykkönen match or two, have not yet decided whether to go to HIFK or PK-35 home game.

Have a nice Saturday!