21.7.2010

Finland Kakkonen; GBK - PK-37

Edit: FT 2-2 (0-2)

Analysis provided by my Northern Finland expert contact.

GBK - PK-37 55 24 21
o/u 2.5: 44 56

Two teams with solid defenses and boring style of play meet each other so this has the potential to be a very low-scoring match. Now that Rönkkö's have gone cold, PK-37 has scored a whopping one goal in their last 5 matches, although according to the reports they've of course have had chances for more. Against Santa Claus PK-37 should have deserved much more than a one-goal loss, but after seeing Santa play against OPA it seems that Santa have perfected that style of play. 0-0 against Korsholm was a massive disappointment as the result was fully deserved. GBK isn't in hot form either, with a even 0-0 match against VIFK and a slightly unlucky 3-5 loss against FCV. Team news are unavailable at the moment, PK-37 had on the last match the very important P. Rönkkö out due to fever, another starting striker Lipponen was also out along with some probably not so important substitutes. GBK's Ebongue seems to be still out, but otherwise they should probably have a full squad available. Even if these two are tied on the standings, GBK is in my opinion at least a couple of steps above PK-37 in terms of quality, eurobookie odds suggest that GBK might be a small value. After last week or sunday it might be a good idea to start just blindly playing unders as long as the odds are still at the current level or something drastic happens(like at least a single goal), as for this match everything points to an low-scoring match anyway so a line of 2.75 or even 2.5 would be quite nice.

GBK - PK-37 1 55% 1,90 2,5/10 Sbobet
GBK - PK-37 U2.5 56% 1,97 2/10 Sbobet

2 kommenttia:

  1. Just out of curiosity, but what makes you bet 2,5 units on home win with these estimations and odds and only 2 units on under with much better EV?

    - Jay

    VastaaPoista
  2. He is sending plays (that customers pay for) that he does not take himself.

    Puntteri, why do you call him Northern Expert if you don´t follow him yourself? Why do you want youre customers to loose their money?

    VastaaPoista