9.7.2010

Free analysis for a Kakkonen match tonight - Thank you Northern Expert!

Edit: FT 3-5. A nice win, a crazy result.

Odds are correctly set at the moment at asian bookmakers, but if they change significantly either way it will be wrong. Courtesy of the Kakkonen C specialist, here you are!

Edit: Well they are not correct anymore! GBK - 0,5 is at 1.68, even the local nookie Veikkaus offer only 1.9 and they have a huge winning margin.

Took Vaajakoski +0.5 @ 2.25 happily, winner or not but definitely good value.


GBK - FC Vaajakoski

44 23 33
o/u 2.5: 58 42

GBK's Ebongue was mysteriously missing in their last match, and as they don't have any other quality or even average strikers it would be definitely be a big minus if he's out again. Another former Jaro player Mattias Ainasoja made his debut last week, so they are otherwise almost at full strength now. FC Vaajakoski has a handful of players(Huisman, Kosonen and Janatuinen) out that have started numerous games this season, in addition to those three they also many others out or doubtful to play which overall totals to almost 10 players. As FCV is relatively new team I'm not that familiar with them, but I've been led to believe that they don't especially have that many key players, and instead have quite large squad of evenly matched players(or at least with the expection of Karlstedt) so they might not be hurt that much due to those missing players. Both of these teams haven't been that sharp lately, GBK broke their losing streak with a sluggish victory over Korsholm but otherwise they haven't impressed at all. FCV also had a winless streak that ended last week, but reading between the lines it seems that the 5-2 result might have been a bit too favourable for FCV. Odds seem to be set correctly, though in my opinion these two are right at the same level so I don't know why bookies have pegged GBK as a slightly better team. At first sight this looks like a very low-scoring game because of GBK, but lately GBK's defense has been surprisingly vulnerable and FCV has on couple of occasion started to look like what they were last year. It seems like 2.75 will be the line for the total, and I agree with that so probably no bets on that either.

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