No news for Veikkausliiga and only minor changes in odds, Honka, KuPS, Inter and HJK have dropped a bit.
Ykkönen
MP +0,25 @ 1.89 – PK35 -0,25 @ 2.03
I have expected more from MP and perhaps they would deserve some more points, but it looks really gloomy for them at the bottom of the table and being 7 points away from safety there is soon no other alternative than start winning games. They have played at home 4 times and 6 times away and it might lie a bit in the table , but their only win so far was away at poor Hämeenlinna and there is just one point earned from the home ground. In front of the goal(s) they look like a Kakkonen side, and 5 scored goals from 10 games is definitely not enough for survival. PK have been rotating too much and at least vs. Espoo it was a bad idea but they should be able to break down MPｴs defence at least once, and it could just enough for a win. I wait for line-ups personally, really would like to see PK fielding their best players and PK35 is only shortlisted. There was a 10 % drop in MP price from 2.08 to 1.89 and it makes me wonder. On paper PK start to be value at that price, my own feeling is not really supporting the idea.
Kemi Kings -0,5 @ 2.16 – OPS 0,5 @ 1.78
I was hoping for a better price for the visitors who should have the best possible line-up available. Hosts 6 latest matches without a win, the latest win dates back to May 16th. No bet with current odds and OPS actually dropped a bit further.
Viikingit -0,5 @ 2.05 – KooTeePee +0,5 @ 1.87
Viikingit did very well vs. Klubi04 and should had won even more convincingly than 0-3, and they are unbeaten since May 16th away at Kemi. There are some doubtful players (Pulkkinen, Kaipio, Kleemola) at home side and the visitors have full squad, except of the long-term injured. Viikingit look like a top-2 side at Ykkönen again, and the price is not quite good enough for a good value bet, but it is almost there and I have a good feeling about it.
Kakkonen
Interesting matches. Very hot day, and yesterdayｴs match LoPa - KaaPo looked like a standing competition as players were too exhausted to move even in the beginning of the match. It was very slow pace throughout the game, and I gave up the idea of live betting, but at hindsight it was all LoPa and the -1 should really had been taken, KaaPo were a total disaster of a team and had no chance after the first LoPa goal.
There are big market moves to be expected again, so far my own picks today are WJK Atlantis, VIFK, GBK + earlies for Honka & HJK.
Pallohonka youngsters fought a win away at Grankulla IFK but have been in trouble against the more physical sides like Jazz, Salpa and Pallo-Iirot today. There have been regularly 3 Honka first team players with Pallohonka, except last time when they came back to winning ways, the visitors miss at least ex-HJK defender Iiro Aalto due suspension, and according to the reports they lack creativity and perhaps the weather and the artificial pitch favours the hosts today? Tempted to take Pallo-Iirot early at that price and I think it will drop closer to what local bookie are offering (-0,5 @ 2.15), but actually I am now watching the match and have no early bets for this.
Sinimustat +0,25 @ 2.00 - FC Jazz -0,25 @ 1.88
Inter Turku play at the same time, and the only likely help from the first team is gk Patrick Bantamoi.
Atlantis - City Stars
Got info about City Stars but unfortunately it is not very precise; ” significant missing players” - obviously some players are on a well-deserved holiday. Atlantis miss important gk Bangura and striker Ekeh. Atlantis have signed Nigerian Iyam Friday who have some Veikkausliiga experience from AC Oulu a couple of years back and might turn out to be very useful player at this level and Atlantis are a bit a short of player material in general. Price of Atlantis rose to -0,25 @ 2.16 which is well worth a bet and you can take it at down to 1.90
Warkaus JK -0,75 @ 1.86 - HIFK
A long trip for HIFK against the top side, and the odds are in line with my thoughts. Reading the home and away stats is misleading here, as HIFK have done well in their ”away games”, but apart from poor Kuusankoski they are derbies which involve no travel. HIFK get important Okkonen back and miss only one player due suspension. I took this, WJK are strong at home and being on a bus all day is not an ideal preparation for a match.
PEPO +0,25 @ 2.06 - FC Kiffen -0,25 @ 1.82
Home side are heading back to 3rd division, but earning a draw against Kiffen who have drawn 7 times already would be no big surprise. Do not believe in home win, and backing Kiffen is hardly very tempting either.
FC Futura -0,25 @ 2.06 - SC Riverball +0,25 @ 1.82
Riverball top the table, but both teams are midtable material. Another long travel to Riverball but they have handled their trips very well. Futura have lost 3 times in a row but have the capacity to beat any team at the group and are deservedly the favourites here but only narrowly and the early odds are about right, and already dropped to 1.98.
And back to the beautiful North;
FC OPA - VIFK 35 23 42
o/u 2.5: 56 44
Extremely low-scoring match is expected and I personally put some units on the under even if it's only a very small value by numbers. Like in yesterday's Santa Claus, the visitors have the much better
squad, but they've massively underachieved so far. VIFK hasn't won in ages but their last two games have been more promising and they've at least shown some fight and urgency. FC OPA hasn't exactly been in hot form lately either, so their favorite status is puzzling for me, but as VIFK is still a big questionmark I can't really recommend playing them with the same staking as me. FC OPA has one relatively important striker missing, VIFK information is hard to get but in their last match, important midfielder Glasberg was on the bench, so that is something to look for when the line-ups arrive.
FC OPA - VIFK +0,25 2 60% 1,98 7/10 Sbobet
FC Korsholm - GBK 12 16 72
o/u 2.5: 68 32
Playing GBK is never that tasty because of their form swings, but Korsholm is so horrid that even with a bad display GBK will probably claw at least a one goal victory because of the huge difference in class, though the same warning as in the FC OPA match applies here too, so lower stakes could be a safer option. Korsholm was slightly or extremely lucky depending on whose report you read to lose only by one goal against SJK, and GBK was very unlucky against JBK last week as they continued their 3 match losing streak. Both sides have failed to provide any kind of a preview, but GBK should probably have only their long-term injured players out. Total line is set correctly, and it
could honestly be anything between a 0-0 or something similar to yesterday's supposedly low-scoring FCV-KajHa that somehow ended 5-2. History usually doesn't matter with the frequent shuffling of players,but GBK did have huge problems last year against that year's bad team Virkiä as they managed to get only a one point from them.
FC Korsholm - GBK -1 2 64,5% 1,88 8/10 Sbobet
o/u 2.5: 56 44
Extremely low-scoring match is expected and I personally put some units on the under even if it's only a very small value by numbers. Like in yesterday's Santa Claus, the visitors have the much better
squad, but they've massively underachieved so far. VIFK hasn't won in ages but their last two games have been more promising and they've at least shown some fight and urgency. FC OPA hasn't exactly been in hot form lately either, so their favorite status is puzzling for me, but as VIFK is still a big questionmark I can't really recommend playing them with the same staking as me. FC OPA has one relatively important striker missing, VIFK information is hard to get but in their last match, important midfielder Glasberg was on the bench, so that is something to look for when the line-ups arrive.
FC OPA - VIFK +0,25 2 60% 1,98 7/10 Sbobet
FC Korsholm - GBK 12 16 72
o/u 2.5: 68 32
Playing GBK is never that tasty because of their form swings, but Korsholm is so horrid that even with a bad display GBK will probably claw at least a one goal victory because of the huge difference in class, though the same warning as in the FC OPA match applies here too, so lower stakes could be a safer option. Korsholm was slightly or extremely lucky depending on whose report you read to lose only by one goal against SJK, and GBK was very unlucky against JBK last week as they continued their 3 match losing streak. Both sides have failed to provide any kind of a preview, but GBK should probably have only their long-term injured players out. Total line is set correctly, and it
could honestly be anything between a 0-0 or something similar to yesterday's supposedly low-scoring FCV-KajHa that somehow ended 5-2. History usually doesn't matter with the frequent shuffling of players,but GBK did have huge problems last year against that year's bad team Virkiä as they managed to get only a one point from them.
FC Korsholm - GBK -1 2 64,5% 1,88 8/10 Sbobet
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