KPV - VIFK -1 2 59% 1,86 4/10 188Bet
PK-37 - GBK O3.25 56% 1,91 3/10 188Bet
PK-37 - GBK +0.0 2 64,5% 1,78 5/10 188Bet
ORPa - PS Kemi -1 2 61,5% 1,90 6/10 Sbobet
ORPa - PS Kemi O3.25 57% 2,00 4/10 Sbobet
KPV - VIFK 15 17 68
o/u 2.5: 65 35
For once the current standings are pretty truthful, meaning that KPV has more or less been just as bad as their current record is, while VIFK remains a tough team to beat but just like last year their big amount of draws could be their downfall. KPV's key players were on the field in TP-47 match, but Watson was injured again so it's unknown if he plays. VIFK still misses one of their regular starters from defense, but he hasn't played much this year. VIFK's strength has usually been their defense, so even if the class difference is big in favor of the visitors, which btw is a very common theme today, I wouldn't be eager to play the visitors with a big handicap. As of writing, not many bookies have released odds, but it looks like -1 could available which would be just on the edge of playability, at least when hunch is concerned. 3.0 total line doesn't happen that often, and in this match it would probably be justified since KPV's offense hasn't got any help in form of new players and trusting VIFK to score plenty of goals is never ideal.
PK-37 - GBK 28 20 52
o/u 2.5: 71 29
As everyone can now see, GBK is not playing well at the moment, so with me being a little slow to adjust rankings and generally being anti-PK-37 the real estimation for the away win would likely be around 42%. However, despite the 2nd half meltdown against Kerho 07 and getting totally outplayed by ORP, I probably won't be able to resist a small GBK bet. Starting from the positives, GBK has generally dominated the h2h, with PK-37 only having won once in the many meeting they have had. GBK has also been better in their away games and they've usually struggled in the first month which is now over. Speaking against them is naturally the poor recent form and the recent influx of goalkeeper injuries (both 1st and 2nd choice). Regular starter from defense, Corcoran is also still out. Another defender, Aho, was injured in ORP match. If GBK hasn't been playing good lately, the same could be said for PK-37. In their 2-3 loss against Kemi they could have gotten more since they led 2-1 until 83 min, but according to the reports they basically scored from their only chances so the loss was quite deserved in the end. ORP win was very shaky, and before that they were steamrolled by YPA and SJK/2. Still, they've usually been a good home team and they're certainly a step or two above the bottom tier so I can understand why the odds are so even. Because PK-37 is not in top form either, GBK level ball would be very nice since I still believe that PK-37 is a middle table team at best and GBK is near the top, but I can't really recommend them with good confidence. PK-37 has usually been an under team, but the reports say their defense has been much weaker this year which has also been reflected in the scorelines. GBK's offense should be top notch still, defense misses plenty of players so that could be good for the goals too.
ORPa - PS Kemi 14 16 70
o/u 2.5: 72 28
ORPa with a full squad to choose from, PS Kemi should have the same situation unless something happened during the week. ORPa has been the HauPa 2011 of this year by being able to hang on with the good teams and even win them occasionally (ok, just once so far), despite their very limited team. Just a handful of players from their recent line-ups, namely Rönkkö, Figho, De Souza, and if stretching a bit, Karjalainen and Kåla, could be considered anywhere near the definition of acclaimed for this level, but that hasn't stopped them so obviously coaching has played a big part. PS Kemi has had an ok start considering that they're near the top with only 5 games played. Just like GBK and VIFK games, Kemi has some problems of their own which make betting on them a veritable minefield. However, this is sort of a derby so they can't blame the distance or the bus feet if they end up losing points again in an away game. ORPa defense has been almost rock-solid recently, so I can't say that I'd be too confident with playing over. Aside from last week's mind-boggling offensive display against GBK they've not amounted to much offensively, but PS Kemi hasn't kept a clean sheet in ages, so combine that with the excellent Kemi attack led by Eissele I'd be prepared to put at least something on the o3.25.
Unavailable:
FC YPA - Tervarit 85 10 5
o/u 2.5: 75 25
YPA annoyingly (no mention in the preview) missed Maluka from VIFK, although they did get a deserved equalizer in the 2nd half. Whether Maluka returns or not should not matter much since Tervarit is still continuing their KPV-type freefall. They haven't been disastrously bad, but red cards, some bad luck, running out fitness and the general lack of quality in the team have been the main contributors in the many losses they have had. As YPA has been the most impressive team so far, and Tervarit the complete the opposite, even -2 would be worth it. Tervarit defense did look good early in the season, but in the last two games that has not been the case. Part of that might be due to the opposition, but it's likely that the moving of Ogbuefi from defense to offense has contributed a lot too. Barring any more unfortunate incidents with lawn mowers, YPA should miss only a couple of players (supersub Tirkkonen, plus maybe Maluka and Siira).
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