Kakkonen Pohjoinen 6.6

VIFK - GBK 48 23 29
o/u 2.5: 68 32

A swedish derby. If the total predictions were more or less correct for both of these teams last week, I couldn't have been more wrong with the side estimations. VIFK was unable to break KPV's defensive wall until very late in the game, which seems so obvious now in hindsight because the VIFK offense just lacks the quality required for those kind of situations (and it didn't help that Kalliokoski made a surprise return to KPV defense). That's not to say KPV would've been any more appealing pick, but if anything the draw would have needed a much much higher estimation. GBK fared much worse as they were completely destroyed by a not so good PK-37 team, who eased off in the second half which in turn kept the numbers respectable for GBK. All in all that makes it now two and a half games where they've been really unimpressive so in that light it's somewhat understandable that the VIFK odds are so low. Under normal circumstances I'd only rate VIFK as small favorites, but since the away team is so out of form I can't really recommend placing anything on GBK. On the other hand, for the home team to be value it would require around 62% for VIFK as of writing, which is just out of the question because VIFK isn't exactly in hot form either, so this looks like a perfect game for skipping handicap bets. GBK has leaked in plenty of goals against poor offensive teams lately, so even VIFK could do some damage for them, e: but 3.25 line, no thanks. As usual, GBK preview is nowhere to be found but according to the forum talk they could miss a lot of players. While it's a moot point bettingwise, it's interesting to see whether it's any of the key players that are missing (Roiko, Smith, Melarti, Carlsson etc..) or is it just rotation players, in which case any odds movement would likely be an overreaction.