20.6.2013

Tervarit-VIFK 20.6

Puntteri might already be on vacation, so live update on Twitter if anything interesting comes up. The home team also likely to provide updates on their Twitter account.

Tervarit - VIFK 13 17 70
o/u 2.5: 60 40

Many practically unbettable games coming up in the near future, this match being one of them. Just by looking at the table it's clear that VIFK should be thought as huge favorites, but because of their very low-scoring nature they're more prone to screw-ups than other good teams so betting on them with - handicap is always risky. While the KPV draw is the only ugly result in their record, they had pretty close calls with ORP and Tervarit in earlier games. Tervarit form is still awful, but they did play a good game against PK-37, who is sort of like VIFK lite and more importantly quite different with their playing style than the teams they've recently received beatdowns from (Kerho 07, TP-47, YPA, PS Kemi). Still, Tervarit win feels very unlikely to happen even when looking through semi-neutral home glasses, so any selection would be VIFK or nothing.

Over is almost always a road to ruin in VIFK games, but this time the odds are so low for the under that the opposite option could actually be the selection with some value in it. There is still a big class difference in play, and with KPV now cruising from win to win Tervarit won't do much good with playing draws, and at least in their home games they haven't been parking the bus. VIFK also does have the ability, even if rare, to score a few goals themselves if the opponent is bad enough. However, bottom line is still the following: one team unable to score and the other playing in a way where over two goals scored is a minor miracle so I wouldn't hesitate to skip the likely 2.75 line. Same goes for handicaps over -1 for the visitors. Injury situation is unknown at the moment, neither team really possesses any profile/star players outside Sund and Ogbuefi so couple of players missing wouldn't affect the probabilities that much.

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