27.4.2010

VPS – JJK preview (1x2 odds limits 2.63 – 3.33 – 3.13)

28.04.10 Injured Doubtfuls Susp. Returns Ranking
VPS
Eckhardt, Tuuri

CD
JJK Tapaninen, Tumanto, Hyyrynen


CD

This is the 1st round rescheduled match, pitch at Vaasa was not in good enough condition and it is been reported that there is snow mold now – whatever that is – but the match takes place. Wednesday is not normally a match day.

Both teams won their 2nd round difficult away matches, VPS at Mariehamn by staggering 0-3 after being very efficient in front of the goal but the over all performance was solid as well, and JJK were lucky enough to meet Tampere United in a match that has been descibed as a ”worst ever TamU performance". Yet the goals have to be scored and there is nothing that should be taken away from JJK´s 0-2 win.

Strikers Valtteri Laaksonen and Antonio Inutile are both getting back to match fitness and both scored a beautiful goal at Mariehamn which always make a world of difference for the self confidence for a striker, especially in a normally goal-shy team like VPS.

JJK were unlucky regarding the injuries. Df Antto Tapaninen can be replaced by Tuomas Latikka, but Touko Tumanto is one of the absolute key players at midfield with a lot of good movement and work ethic, toughness and experience. Striker Mikko Hyyrynen did not play vs. TamU due to thigh injury and will stay sidelined, and he is also seriously missed.

Last season VPS won both matches, but again, JJK 2010 is far better team than JJK 2009 and also the home team have changed quite a lot, in the league cup JJK – VPS ended 3-0, but it was more a testing period and the line-ups were far from ideal, at least from VPS side. So no help from the history here. Even the managers have changed at both teams since last season.

In the light of pre-season rankings JJK should do better than VPS this season, but the recent excellent VPS results and performances on the pitch indicate that they are another one of the big bunch of teams fighting for a comfortable midtable finish, a relegation is a realistic worry if everything goes wrong, but with a good run of results both have a change to get in safety in good time.

So what can we expect? Given the poor pitch condition, the relatively slow number of both teams goal chances and shots – VPS shot a total of 8 times at Mariehamn, and JJK seven times at Tampere – and the probability of both teams being semi-happy for a point and a total of 4 points after two rounds this is another low-scoring and even encounter, at least until the kick-off.

The local bookie has the set the away team to be the favourite, the difference compared to me is that I see Tumanto´s injury as a bigger blow. The VPS injuries or doubtfuls are no problem at all.I do not see too much action in this match at the asian market, both teams can get some support, but a big move either way would really surprise me. 

Asian handicap price limits table below

VPS JJK
-0,5 2,63 1,61 0,5
-0,25 2,17 1,86 0,25
0 1,84 2,19 0
0,25 1,64 2,57 -0,25

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