Kakkonen Pohjoinen 13.7

PS Kemi - VIFK -0,5 1 53% 1,96 2,5/10 Sbobet
PS Kemi - VIFK O3.25 57% 1,97 5/10 Sbobet
ORP - PK-37 -0,5 2 54% 1,99 4/10 Sbobet

PS Kemi - VIFK 53 19 28
o/u 2.5: 72 28

Very equal teams, but as said multiple times before PS Kemi has been excellent at home not only based on the results but also in the way that they seem to play much more aggressively at home than away. Also they do have more individual talent than VIFK so with the coaching being likely quite equal this year I'd be prepared to try -0,5 for small stakes. For the past month and a half both teams have mostly just won so it's difficult to say anything negative about either team or their form. If anything, neither has displayed the same type of dominance as the legendary trio of SJK, OPA and OPS so succeeding in Ykkönen would need plenty of new signings. VIFK does not seem to have any significant injuries. Kemi missed their first choice gk last time but no information on whether he'll return, other than that there doesn't seem to be anybody else missing (e: the gk is still out, they also miss two regular starters from defense/midfield). Last week was disastrous with totals, but assuming that was just derby round jitters or just, you know, one fluke round (after all, no team goes full season with just 5-1 or 2-5 results) then I'd lean fairly hard towards the over in this game. PS Kemi does seem to be prone to occasional bore fests in away games, but at home the last time they had fewer than 3 goals scored was over a year ago. VIFK is currently quite a special case, normally they are the kings of low scoring football but recently it has been quite the opposite. Whether that is just a streak of random results or not I don't know, but there's not a better chance to continue that string of results than visiting Kemi. As this is still a top clash, 3.25 line would be something that I probably wouldn't get too excited with, but if the asians follow Bet365's odds then there's a fairly good chance for 3.0 which would be more than enough.

ORPa - PK-37 26 20 54
o/u 2.5: 63 37

As much as I despise PK-37 and would like to see more Oulu teams play in Kakkonen, the truth is that concerning betting angles there's only one possible choice and it's PK-37. PK-37 finally broke out of their unlucky spell by completely trashing YPA, although the red card obviously played a part in that. At the moment, their form is much better than ORP's, who have been terrible for a long time now. The home side's Tervarit win was the same old for them with even the winning goal coming from a very controversial refereeing decision in an otherwise even game. From the VIFK game onward, PK-37 has been playing good football despite the poor looking results, so even when playing away from home anything above 2,00 would be an instant bet. While I'd still place PK-37's quality at middle table at best, the gap between the current bottom two and the teams above them is just as big as the difference between the top trio and the teams underneath them. ORP did not fare any better offensively against Tervarit, so it's not difficult to expect them to have a hard time scoring against PK-37, who have for the past month played much like they have always played, meaning plenty of low scoring games. Of course some result have been quite misleading but the overall picture is still quite under-like. ORP's important gk still has one game remaining in his suspension (there's also some player movement, impossible to say whether the new players will do anything good for them), but I wouldn't expect them to have too much trouble defensively with PK-37, though the visitors are still the clear favorites today. e: PK-37 does seem to have their top scorer suspended, so not too hot on them anymore.