Kakkonen Pohjoinen 20.7

Won't be able to check Kerho 07's line-ups, with current information -1,5 does not raise any interest.

FC YPA - VIFK O3.0 64,5% 1,92 9/10 Sbobet
Kerho 07 - Tervarit O3.25 60% 1,92 6,5/10 Sbobet

FC YPA - VIFK 54 19 27
o/u 2.5: 72 28

YPA has important Morrison-Derbyshire out from defense, VIFK with no one out. YPA had a second bad game in a row yet this time they somehow managed to win KPV instead of getting blown out like against PK-37. The recent form is naturally a worrying thing, but they're still pretty much one of the best team in the group along with PS Kemi and today's opponents VIFK. VIFK was dismantled by PS Kemi last week, and though YPA is not at their best at the moment I'd expect this to go the same way. There's a considerable difference between the player quality in favor of YPA so while you could rank these two pretty close together, in a h2h match and at home I'll favor YPA  much more heavily. Only one bookmaker has released any odds as of writing, but they don't seem to be fooled by the standings either so with 1,65-level odds offered for the home team the 1x2 market looks like a no bet. The same bookie seems to expect this to be a more low-scoring game than usual which I disagree with. All the goals were scored in the 2nd half in VIFK's last game, but there were plenty of chances in that game even in the first half so overall the trend of high scoring football for VIFK seems to be continuing. YPA's normally reliable attack has tanked slightly in the recent games, but on the other hand their defense has suffered equal lapses as they've now started conceding goals regularly, which is a big change to the first 1/3 of the season when they had tons of clean sheets. As said before, top clashes usually don't end up being particularly careful affairs in this group and I doubt that we'll see it change here. European odds suggest that 3.0 could be available, which would be very very appealing.

Kerho 07 - Tervarit 74 14 12
o/u 2.5: 74 26

SJK's, or I mean Kerho 07's player situation seems to be chaotic at the moment so the wisest thing to do is wait for the line-ups which appear exactly one hour before the kick-off. 28 different players have started for Tervarit this season, and that probably is enough player news about them. One noteworthy thing is the transfer of Ogbuefi from Tervarit to PS Kemi, and from those teams you can likely guess how good of a player Ogbuefi is. Nevertheless, he hasn't played with them lately so no effect on this game. As strange as it may sound, Kerho 07 seems to have played ok against GBK even though they lost by four goals. Before that the results have been quite similar, they've been pretty competitive against good teams, but wins have been very hard to come by. Personally I'd love to see these useless reserve teams go down or form a league of their own (Klubi 04 playing in Ykkönen was a blasphemy enough), but I fear the games against ORP and Tervarit are going to save them this year at least. Tervarit draw against TP-47 last week was something that I honestly never saw coming especially considering the line-up they fielded.  What actually happened in TP-47 match is still a bit unclear, but if the home team's report is to be believed TP-47 was very much on top so that at least sounds familiar. Any Tervarit bets are still not an option, Kerho 07 has enough turmoil going on right now in addition to questionable form that anything near to last week's -2,25 (TP-47 vs Tervarit) is out of the question. Based solely on the big class difference I'd take a chance with over 3.25, but it would be in no way anywhere near a tasty bet. A lot depends on the home team's line-up, but in general terms before the TP-47 match any semi-competitive team usually dropped at least a few goals on Tervarit so expecting Kerho 07 to do the same would not be that far fetched.