27.7.2013

Kakkonen Pohjoinen 27.7

PS Kemi - ORP -2,25 1 64,5% 1,75 8/10 188Bet

PS Kemi - ORPa 91 6 3
o/u 2.5: 78 22

PS Kemi convincingly beat YPA on Wednesday so it's safe to say they're the best team in the group right now, however, just like for FC YPA, couple of injuries or suspensions to their key players could easily derail PS Kemi's season. ORP hung tough against GBK, but a draw would have been the maximum result for them as they were only able to create one good chance. One of the few players who has proved that he can do something offensively, Karjalainen, was injured in GBK game, so if he's still out their attack outlook looks pretty grim. Like the table tells, the class difference is huge, and thus the only interesting thing in betting terms is how many goals will PS Kemi bother to score. Fatigue could also play a role as this is Kemi's third game in a week, same goes for mental stuff aswell: after a top match, will the intensity level be as good when the opposing team is as uninspiring as ORP? Regardless, Kemi's coaching has been much praised and at home they're still almost unbeatable, so even a -2,75 line would be worth a small try. The total is obviously closely linked to estimating Kemi's interest mostly because ORP really sucks in goalscoring department. Apart from last week's GBK game, good teams have usually scored a few in ORP's net so I'm not too worried about ORP having some low-scoring games recently. Kemi picked up an annoying under in the YPA match, but even without sour grapes it wasn't a bad bet in hindsight especially with the 2.75 line. PS Kemi's three goal streak at home is still running in twenties, but of course the line will almost certainly be at least 3.5 so that would be just a small bet, with maybe more in live in case the line changes quickly.

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