Kakkonen Pohjoinen 28.7

Tervarit - FC YPA 10 13 77
o/u 2.5: 76 24

Live update on either Twitter or Puntteri's halftime newsletter. PS Kemi managed to gloriously screw-up their game yesterday, but since YPA's squad is extremely narrow I'd say this is a much more difficult game to predict than that. Tervarit has picked up a couple scrappy draws and at least defense has improved considerably in the last few games, goalscoring is still a huge problem for them as they have zero quality upfront now that Ogbuefi is playing elsewhere. YPA's form has dipped slightly lately and they're still weakened by suspensions, this time from each part of the field (Junno, Morrisson-Derbyshire and Akmetkhanov). The questionable players (Colovic and Pejic) should be able to play, and since they will still have almost all of their key attacking players available the player situation isn't that bad after all considering who they're facing. However, the reality is that the odds are so miniscule for the away team that any pregame bets for YPA are out of question, and in fact something like Tervarit +2 could actually be the more attractive option. Total is also something that I'd prefer to leave for live betting, Tervarit has been able to keep the numbers respectable lately but then again the opponents have been much weaker than YPA so this will provide a much stiffer test for them. With the current odds I'd lean towards the under, last week's ORP-GBK was actually quite a similar type of match and the line was only 3.0 so the current European odds (3.5 and about even) don't raise much interest for me.

TP-47 - Kerho 07 52 20 28
o/u 2.5: 68 32

How about no. Both teams are struggling, Bobb left TP-47 and they have other missings too, Kerho 07 line-up is always a mystery, so it's tough to find a more unappealing game than this. TP-47 has been very draw-happy and mediocre lately, which in betting terms is never a good thing, and on the other side Kerho 07 hasn't won a proper team since middle of May but they have been fairly competitive most of the time. I'll give TP-47 a small edge as they have at least won a few games more than Kerho 07 in the past couple of months, but truthfully the difference seems to be quite small which is perhaps best evidenced by the same type of draws in Tervarit games. Total is equally a complete crapshoot, I'd assume the relatively low scoring games for both teams recently are mostly due to the ineffective form rather than them suddenly adopting JIPPO tactics but interpreting heavily biased match reports is always tough so I'd prefet to skip the total too. TP-47 loses a big chunk of offensive power in Bobb and Huusko & Badji have by my understanding been important parts of their offense also. Kerho 07 could get Caumo back from SJK which would help a lot, both previews talk about plenty of youngsters being on the field today but that doesn't really help total betting as that could go easily the either way.