TP-47 - Tervari O3.75 54% 1,92 3/10 12Bet
Kerho 07 - GBK +0,25 2 59% 1,91 4/10 188Bet
Kerho 07 - GBK O3.25 59% 1,86 4/10 12Bet
KPV - FC YPA O3.25 59% 1,84 4/10 12Bet
KPV - FC YPA 18 17 65
o/u 2.5: 73 27
It's hard to get an accurate description from the Kokkola derby, but it seems like the game was quite even so KPV can count themselves slightly unlucky to have lost that match. As you can see from their results lately KPV is now a completely different team compared to first 1/3 of the season. This game, however, is on a whole different level in terms of challenge as YPA is far ahead of GBK, PK-37, Kerho 07 and the Oulu minnows. Or to be precise, YPA should be far ahead of those five since lately YPA has hit some bumps on their road to Ykkönen. If the homegrown rule looks to have started the self-destruction in SJK, the same can be said for YPA and their red cards. In total, they are missing two regular starters and two part-time starters, and with a painfully thin squad they really can't afford losing too many players so I've lowered their estimation quite a bit. Normally I'd expect YPA to have no trouble with KPV as the class difference is huge, but due to the uncertain situation with YPA, the 1x2 and handicap markets are in my opinion basically untouchable. The same sentiment mostly applies to the total too, in ordinary circumstances I'd expect YPA's excellent attack to break down KPV, who are probably going to approach this match very defensively just like they did in the last h2h match. YPA's defense did break down against PK-37 when Morrison-Derbyshire was sent off, and KPV is not any worse than PK-37 when it comes to attacking so if YPA decides to continue their screw-ups KPV is more than capable of making some damage.
TP-47 - Tervarit 85 9 6
o/u 2.5: 78 22
The standings describe this match better than any words, but in short anything other than a home win would be a big surprise. TP-47 has played against the top 3 lately so the results don't look so good for them, but assuming their confidence hasn't been hit too much they should destroy Tervarit. TP-47 has been clearly the fourth best team overall, and while Tervarit isn't any worse than ORP they're an abysmal team for this level so the 10th place is quite accurate for them. Line-up roulette continues for the away team, but that probably does not make any difference if the team loses nearly all of their games. TP-47 gets two not so important players back from suspension, one semi-important player was still missing in PS Kemi match. Tervarit away games have usually ended in massacres and it's hard to see this one going any different. TP-47's recent form is the only worrying thing as they've been much more low-scoring than usual, but I'd say this a very different type of game (meaning big class difference) than those four matches before so I'm confident that they'll have a good chance to return to their extremely over-like games. Tervarit scoring is still quite rare and thus I wouldn't be too interested in lines higher than 3.5.
Kerho 07 - GBK 37 20 43
o/u 2.5: 73 27
If KPV-YPA is a nightmare game in a betting sense, this is even more so. There are enough reasons for both teams to be favorites and while I've given GBK the slight nod it could just as well go to Kerho 07. The visitors finally won a game so the coaching change helped a bit, but with a squad list like theirs they should be dominating teams like KPV, not win them barely by one late goal. There's a lot of potential in GBK, even to challenge the top 3 but one single win is not enough to completely overturn the awful form they displayed before that. For the past month and a half results have not gone in Kerho 07's favor, but they have played good enough that I wouldn't be too eager to play GBK. Strangely enough Kerho 07 have looked very poor against mediocre teams such as KPV and PK-37 while the YPA, PS Kemi and last week's VIFK game have been very even. As predicting GBK's real quality is mostly lottery right now, the best option would be probably be to just skip this game entirely. However, due to GBK having a much better team in paper and also because of their much higher ceiling in terms class I likely wouldn't be able to resist GBK level ball if that were available. Palosaari and Aalto did not play with SJK yesterday so they'll probably be with Kerho 07, same goes for Goldberg. Their captain Ylinen will be out for a month, but in Oulu games he did not display anything worthwhile. GBK lost half a dozen players to the Finnish army, though they should have all of their key players available so a couple of youngsters being out should not affect them that much. Total is nearly as tricky as 1x2, GBK was obviously much better last week when they got a clean sheet so the question is will that cancel out the previous two months, where they went through a ridiculous streak of nine O3.5 games in a row. GBK's offense has statistically been quite average, but the scoring streak is still going on and on paper they have at minimum the third best offense in the group. Kerho 07 has been quite steady with the almost all the unders coming from games against under teams (VIFK in May and PK-37 twice), against similar opposition as GBK there's almost always been at least three scored. 3.0 line would be good for at least a medium bet, 3.25 not so much.
Ei kommentteja:
Lähetä kommentti