Kakkonen Pohjoinen 17.7

GBK - PK-37 O3.25 56% 1,90 2,5/10 Sbobet

GBK - PK-37 58 19 23
o/u 2.5: 71 29

The topscorer from last year (19 goals in 25 games), Melarti, is still missing from GBK's lineup. PK-37's player manager Lähderinne is suspended. GBK beat Kerho 07 convincingly last week, and while the winning margin was too big, the overall performance seems to have been quite similar to what worked for them in 2011 and 2012, meaning solid defending and extremely efficient finishing. The big margin of victory probably also ruined any chance of getting playable odds for GBK if the Asians follow the European odds. I'll likely a need a couple of more wins from GBK to be fully convinced, but at the moment it looks like they are finally back and with the squad that they have it means they could be just behind PS Kemi, FC YPA and VIFK in terms of team quality or ranking. PK-37 made the ORP win look much harder than it was as their gk committed couple of errors which led to both ORP goals. Otherwise they were in full control most of the time, and though they did not get many chances, there was the lingering feeling that they would have inevitably scored the necessary goals to win the game anyway. It could be almost said that PK-37 is in better form now than GBK, as they've played at a pretty good level for a few weeks now. However, on paper GBK is so much better that I wouldn't bother with PK-37 +1 even if it were available. And similarly, the same thing could be said for GBK, one shaky win against KPV and defeating Kerho 07, who are not playing that good at the moment, is not enough to make either -0,75 or -1 interesting.

GBK did go over the line last week, but now that their defense seems to be much improved they're probably not as big over team as they were before. Despite that, they have plenty of quality in their attack so I wouldn't lower them too much, and luckily the opportunity to see them in action comes already on Sunday against ORP so I won't have to use random.org to come up with total estimations. PK-37's last game had five goals in it, but there honestly wasn't that much entertainment value in it, in fact it was quite the opposite since even the half chances resulted in goals. Before that PK-37 was quite under-like lately, but as usual in Kakkonen North, three goals is not that unheard of for any team so when playing against a team like GBK I wouldn't be able to resist the opportunity to take the over if the line were 3.0, though in all likelihood the line will again be 3.25 like it almost always is.